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that u.s. lawmakers will have a deal. we are kind of to the downside. with that, i will send it back to you guys. dagen: what can we expect volume to look like? >> typically, any traders take the week off. a couple of days off. you have a lower volume. yesterday, there was a lot of conviction. volume was up considerably based on the one-week average. it has been a little bit better than usual. dagen: thank you so much, lauren. we will give people comments when they start. the white house saying president obama will veto the gop's plan b for the fiscal cliff saying it does not meet balance. douglas holtz aiken, former director of the budget office, joining us with more. if not now, then when the heck? >> hopefully by december 31. i think it is very important for us to avoid going over the fiscal cliff. all bad news for americans. you like to think that they are getting closer to gather. the fact that the white house rejected a plan b is not good. dagen: $1 trillion raised in revenue by congressman boehner's plan. that is pretty close, is it not remark it is true that the numbers have
seaport complex at a near standstill for the eighth straight day. drake christopher is going to join us with how this could impact your holiday season. lori: i was just kidding, actually. bacon is kosher. i do not eat kosher. melissa: speaking of kosher -- lori: rubbing elbows with the royals. our next ambassador -- you are speechless. melissa: i do not know about that one. time for stocks now as we do every 15 minutes. nicole petallides is standing by. nicole: right now, we are seeing the dow jones industrial average down just 12 points. so far, we are having a losing week on wall street. let's see what happens at the end of the day. these moves are really fractional. the s&p down a third of a percent. december, traditionally, is the best month for the s&p 500 since 1950. we will see whether or not that seems to come to correlation. i want to take a look at some of the auto retailers. it turns out they are not doing so well with their sales. pat boys, in particular, revenue missing for the third time in a row. both companies not seeing sales. warmer weather plays a role. back to you. m
pressure, however people use that as a buying opportunity which is evidenced in the two-day chart. with the fiscal cliff fast approaching, naturally it's about time lawmakers took a long recess. >> they're gone today, but will be back tuesday. it meets with small businesses in their district, they will highlight what they say i see ae small business tax hike president obama is pushing. the president is skipping town also for a quick stop in northern virginia. there he will meet with a middle-class family to press congress to protect those making less than $250,000 per year for a tax increase by raising rates on those earning more. the white house demanding a tax rate increase. republicans will agree to increase taxes through eliminating deductions. even if they figure out taxes, democrats and republicans still have to resolve significant differences on entitlements. take a listen. >> it is not even the right thing to do first and foremost. visit the trophy that republicans want? is that what they want to do what is right to raise the rates? speak of the american people want us to
brand joining us on the state of luxury. adam: right now it is time to check stocks. we will add to the floor of the new york stock exchange. nicole petallides standing there. we are looking to end the week which way. >> reporter: let's see. right now at 13,161, ever so slightly in positive territory. when you look at the markets, keep an eye on 13,155. that is where we ended last friday. we have been up four straight weeks several. the dow has been trending to the upside. when you talk to traders on wall street a continue to think that the rally is in place. the dow, s&p, and nasdaq gaining 45%. these last four weeks. "we are obviously looking good. you are seeing some of the names on the move here. for example, the fear indexes to the upside. names like alcoa, cisco, caterpillar, hewlett-packard are helping the dow along trying to keep the names that are helping. the weighing on the dow would be some of the stocks such as american express, merck, and exxon mobile. adam: we will check in again with you and roughly 15 minutes. thank you very much. lori: congress of for the weeken
the nation's capital on this. dagen: think those photos are yours and only yours? instagram says it could use your photos in ads, if it wants to. connell: this could cost us. the next on bank account adds. dagen: nicole 5 on the new york stock exchange. nicole: this is unbelievable. we continue to get the headlines out of washington. we have boehner coming out with plan b. we are getting harry reid response saying that speaker banners -- boehner approach is very far away. the markets have managed to move back higher. there is a look at the nasdaq. the dow is a winner of about .5%. connell: let's follow up on this breaking news on the speaker of the house john boehner. dagen: richardson is live in washington, d.c. with what the heck. rich: the house will vote as early as this week to extend tax rates for those making less than a million dollars a year. house speaker john boehner says he is still negotiating plan a with president obama. the reason for the backup plan, speaker boehner says, after optimism, the white house is latest offer has soured the mood within republicans. >> it was essentia
question] >> the risk the president wants us to take, increasing tax rates will hit many small businesses that produce 60-70% of the new jobs in our country. that is the whole issue. [inaudible question] >> i think that is reckless talk. [inaudible question] >> listen, raising taxes on small businesses will not help our economy and will not help those seeking work. i came out the day after the election to put revenues on the table. to take a step towards the president to try to resolve this. >> is there someone you could agree to tax rate increases and protect small businesses may be at the same time? >> there are a lot of things that are possible. the president insists on this position. insist on my way or the highway. next. connell: speaker of the house john boehner. dagen: i think ed henry says no progress and charges at the white house. connell: there is the optimism. it has been waning anyway on the stock market. the speaker talk to you about the phone call about the president needing to get more serious. we will talk more about that coming up. mark warner is supposed to join us from
the cliff. he will join us in a moment. american banks on guard for a new round of cyberattacks. your money could be at risk. we will talk to one cybersecurity expert who helps banks, stock exchanges or more protect themselves from attack. lori: a blockbuster deal for the intercontinental exchange, taking over the 200-year-old wall street institution in an $8 billion deal. charlie gasparino has new details. let's get updated on the markets, stocks belong. as we do every 15 minutes, we will check with nicole petallides. nicole: stock market bumping along not far off of the unchanged line so the dow industrials are up nine points worth a gain of 0.1%, the tech heavy nasdaq is one of a three with the down arrow and sweeping out a game today. we are continuing to follow nyse very closely on the heels of the deal that charlie gasparino noticed yesterday and it did come to fruition this morning, duncan neiderauer was here with the ceo of the eyes, intercontinental exchange. they were chatting about the deal that has come to fruition, $8.2 billion deal, premium, a lot of folks are happy about a me
really pushing some new recent highs. that is something that pushed us along in the last couple days. lori: a showdown in washington. sparring over a dead deal. it does not look like either party is ready to budge. where are we now, rich we are still in the middle of a work in progress. that could be a little bit of an understatement. democrats say they want a commitment from her republicans. basically, we are in the same spot. here we are at the 11th hour and the president still is not. about dealing with this issue right here. it is this issue. spending. >> the public posturing continues. there is a questioning today about whether or not we get to the point where tax rates are ready to increase on nearly every taxpaying american. the speaker would not comment. back to you. lori: so frustrating. rich edson, thank you so much for that update. lori: we will be on pins and needles for a while. the voters are sending mixed signals. voters think the best way to deal with the countries deficit problem is mostly with cuts and government spending. majorities say major spending cuts are nece
of work or underemployed. is this a real recovery? michelle girard joins us now. thank you for joining us. >> when you see people get excited about this number or the fact it is higher than expectations, it reminds you we have gotten used to this new normal where we are not producing the number of jobs that it would take to get back to employment numbers where we were before the recession. i agree. we have gotten so that we share 7.7% unemployment rate. historically, that would have been something we saw really just during recessions. i do think that the economy can do better. i think we know that companies, i do still believe, our sideline, they are hesitant based on the uncertainty associated with washington and the economy. they have actually probably fallen a bit behind on the hiring they need to do. i do think we can do better than this. melissa: if we cut that this rate, it would take us nine years. is there anything we could be doing better? >> i know everybody says this, but i do think it is true. it is more certainty. if we get, not just a fiscal term agreement, a longer-term dea
pushing us along throughout this entire last six months. lori: absolutely. thank you so much, nicole petallides on the floor of the new york stock exchange. protests turn violent in lansing, michigan, as union protesters ripped down a tent belonging to right-to-work supporters. becoming the 24th right-to-work states today allowing workers to get the right to join unions. jeff flock is in lansing michigan covering the story for us. i thought it was interesting how you covered the scene there with michigan a few years back, excuse me, wisconsin. >> wisconsin, exactly. not the same kind of intensity. part of that is because this is already pretty much a done deal. there they had not a teacher headed off. the second one being debated right now. but renew over here to the scene of the george romney state office building. george romney, former governor of wisconsin, and father of mitt romney. the large group of protesters are trying to get into the crowd and see. they have essentially ringed the entrance of the building trying to make their voices heard. they feel very frustrated. they fee
for the fallout. tampa mayor tells us what the fiscal cliff means for his city. lori: all talking and no advancement towards a deal. frustrating. on and on and on those politicians go. we will bring you an update. tom corbett saying going over that cliff would be "absolutely frightening for the keystone state." he will join us later. melissa: president obama has been named person of the year. go figure. [talking over each other] lori: was i on the list for rock. melissa: on top. lori: let's get you updated on the markets. lauren simonetti is covering stocks for us today. >> we go break a two-day winning streak. for the s&p, it has been the best two days in more than a month. we are still a little bit more positive. traders kind of sitting on their hands digesting what we have recently had. if you look at, i say risk on because the sectors that are doing well today are once again energy and thanks. utilities not putting in a good performance today. gm shares are up tremendously right now. they took out their highest level in 19 month old little bit earlier today. this on news that
to believe that is the best route for us to take. speak loudly the decimal be part of the agreement and frankly public and colleagues have learned to say the government will not pay its debts and hold off or something else is bad substance and bad politics. >> obama aides say the company, the engine company in detroit called detroit diesel will announce $100 billion investment in new production as part of the president's visit. melissa: peter barnes, thank you so much. president obama and speaker john boehner are talking, signs of progress or more of the same? it worked in the white house, we're pleased to be joined by some economic writer for the "wall street journal." let's start with these comments from a republican from tennessee known to be reasonable suggesting increase the tax rates on the wealthiest 2% to move on and talk about entitlements getting a little it is realistic to see the deal that might alternately happen? >> hi, lori and melissa. do you think you wil you'll havw december 31? i think this thing will stretch out maybe a few hours before plunging off a cliff. lori
it's not -ealing a blow to the u.s. economy. first, stocks, as we do every 15 minutes, going to the floor. new york stock exchange. lauren is there watching it. any indication from the investors and traders about a deal? are they telling you if they have an inside scoop? >> they do not have an inside scoop, but there's con play sen sigh, and stocks stuck in the range, down half a percent for the broader market, down for five days in a row waiting, two hours from now, to hear somebody in washington say something about fiscal cliff, and then we'll move on that news, but traders are saying if we get a deal done, we'll see the market take off. we have not seen a santa claus rally this december, unfortunately, and, in fact, the nasdaq lower. stocks lower, by the way. here's the new york stock exchange, three stocks trading down for every one trading up. another thing trading up a the vix index. it's 20.18. the vix has traded below the two decade average, and that's not happened this month. we broke that trend. we have an uptick in the vix now. adam, back to you. adam: the question
next guest. alex sharpton is with us. it is good to have you. the significance you think of an fha bailout, if it comes to that. >> i do not think it will be ruled out. we probably will have some type of popping off of the fha. if you look at where we stand right now, as an economy, we have a very modest recovery. it is most likely going to happen. connell: the significance of it is, in your mind, what? >> what needs to happen is we need to take note that we are subsidizing the fha again. while the fha is great for lower income borrowers, we are still allowing people to buy properties where they want after they post on the property, they are upside down on our property. that is where we need to be cautious. connell: we talk about it all the time, the housing numbers that are showing improvement. if people are only putting down, you know, the 3.5%, are we getting ourselves into a similar hole to the ones we are trying to dig ourseeves out of? >> unfortunately, we may have. the loans that the fha have increased in the past ten years, has increased tenfold. when you look at that type
for sprint which is the number three u.s. wireless carrier. now, they will have full ownership of the spectrum. that is some good news for sprint. you are seeing that clear wire is selling off the news. lori: president obama and house speaker john boehner meeting just hours ago. our rich and thin was first to report this news of the meeting. rich, the house speaker seems to be caving on tax hikes, at least a little bit. rich: they have been discussing the ratio with a 121 ratio. they are talking a trillion dollar spending cuts. higher rates on amount of more than $1 million curbs on deductions congress would work out next year. democrats and republicans are also talking about continuing the tax cuts. increasing the debt ceiling is a major sticking point for republicans. they will want more spending cuts to raise the debt ceiling again. republicans say changes to entitlements must be included to get any deal through congress. there is progress, though there are significant obstacles remaining. the president will need at least half of them on the board to get something to congres
route for us to take. peter: this afternoon, the president will speak in detroit. he will be speaking at and engine company, detroit diesel. obama aides said the company will also announce $100 million new investment and production as part of the president visit. dagen and connell. dagen: thank you very much, peter. peter barnes in washington. connell: groups of union workers expected to continue their protest against michigan becoming the nations 24th right to work state. dagen: we should point out, this just gives people the option of opting out from paying union dues. that is all that it does. the governor says he will not take on this divisive issue. low and behold, he is willing to sign it when it shows up on his desk. >> the governor did not want the kind of confrontation with unions, that, for instance, you saw in wisconsin. they put on a referendum on the november ballot saying we want to constitutionally banned the right of right to work. unions defeated the governor, one of the governor's favorite laws which is this emergency manager walt which he is trying to use to despera
're working hard on the problem, when, in fact, they are doing nothing, setting us back, not going forward, but increasing spending, not reducing it. >> the road map going forward is declaring victory saying we're for middle class tax cuts reaching a deal early in january even though this is a g.o.p. middle class tax rate that president george w. bush enacted so, you know, that's the way going forward. >> wait for the first paycheck, it's going to be lower. >> see what happens monday morning, dying to see what happens this weekend. >> yeah, because they are meeting this weekend. >> oh, are they meeting? dagen, it's yours. >> when you are outraged, you sound authoritative. i sound like a crazy red neck. i need your help. putting the band back together, the president hosting party leaders at the white house trying to find middle ground on dealing with the coming tax increases and spending cuts. the damage done already to american business, uncertainty and looming tax burden has owners up in arms. can housing continue to recover among all of this? why washington should not pull out the rug fr
there could be released ahead. he will tell us just how much. time for stocks now. let's head to the floor of the new york stock exchange. nicole petallides is standing by. no fiscal cliff deal and the market is looking a little nervous. nicole: you saw the dow down nearly 200 points. what you see is basically everybody sells everything. they are not saying i will sell my financials and hold onto my drugs. no. they are getting out today. it is the weekend. we havecome up off the as you noted, they cannot get away from the fiscal cliff. not just yet. they have not come to a solution in washington. that is front and center. we are also seeing a flock to the area that are safe. the dollar is higher. gold is higher. we are also -- there is a look at the dow jones one week. last friday we close that 13,135. we are still actually of about 30 points for the week. that is if we were to close right here. for right now, certainly, read on the screen because there is so much concern about washington. melissa: thank you so much. many believe the speaker in the senate, but it did notie -@even make it t
. they are making money. it is a lot more than you think. the retail holiday bliss. toys are us among those planning around the clock service. we have our own version of around the clock. nicole petallides is on the floor of the new york stock exchange. nicole: it really is a time to shop. let's take a look at the major market averages. the tech heavy nasdaq is squeezing out some games. it is up about five points. some other traders talking talking about the fact that yesterday they got a lot of monetary policy. then they start to get economic news of things the a little bit better. they have to digest each piece of economic news. there is a look at the dow. 13,237. it is down about eight points. let's talk about best buys. from 1956, that is when he founded best buy. he is moving ahead. it could be by the end of the week. it is up 15.5%. connell: a news alert from washington. you will see it here live from d.c. as we wait for the speaker, we will hear from a guy who says >> whatever god deal is signed, there will be a lot of pressure. boehner will have to cut a deal that raises taxes. their idea of
, that will go up to 4.7 trillion. whatever happens to this deal will not do anything to get us closer to balance the budget or cutting spending. there are no politics organize around it. democrats think we can borrow money at these rates forever and there is no worry about that, and they will be right until the moment they are wrong and if they are wrong, this countries in a world of trouble. melissa: we're looking at raising taxes on the wealthy, still at the same time that is the issue at the forefront it seems it has to be settled first to get any further. do you think they will settle in the middle on families that make more than 400,000, a lot of people think that will be the point in the middle that we end it, what do you think? >> both sides right now according to today and yesterday are circling around each other at pretty close levels, it looks like we're heading towards an agreement. i think it will be somewhere there. republicans will have to take a real take on increasing taxes on the wealthy because perversely because they held the line on taxes for only so long instead of talking a
. here it is. >> no sane person can ever possibly comprehend them. they walk among us every single day. does anybody really believe that the next adam lanza isn't planning his attack on a school he has already identified at this very moment? back how many more copycats are waiting in the wings for their moment of fame? back from a national media machine that rewards them with wall-to-wall attention and a sense of identity that they crave. they provoke others to try to make their mark. a dozen more killers, a hundred more, how can we possibly even guess how many given our nation's refusal to create an active national database of the mentally ill. the fact is this, that would not even begin to address the much larger, more lethal, criminal cross. killers, robbers, rapists, gang members that have spread throughout our communities across the nation. meanwhile, why -- while that happens, guns have decreased to the lowest levels in a decade. so, now, due to a decline of willingness to prosecute dangerous criminals, violent crime is increasing again. for the first time in 19 years. add anothe
. the u.s. economy added 111,000 private sector jobs according to adp. a bit weaker than expected. because of impacts from hurricane sandy. the bank saying it is looking for ways to cut expenses. those cuts amount to 4% of the companies workforce and is estimated to save $1.1 billion every year. stocks now and every 15 minutes. nicole petallides. nicole: we are looking at a market that is to the downside. let's take a look at citigroup. it is about 4% of the workforce. citigroup is higher. it has had an up arrow throughout the day today. we saw the dow jones industrials this week to the downside. we had two consecutive days in selling. down arrows for the nasdaq. down 1.1%. connell: breaking news out of washington. earlier, speaker boehner speaking about the fiscal cliff. now it is president obama. let's listen. >> we have emerged not yet where we need to be, but we certainly have made progress. the reason we have made progress in part is because of the outstanding management and productivity and gains and efficiencies that you have been able to achieve in each and every one of your compan
with the cliff coming up? >> it's getting worse. it used to be there were big people in the senate and house who wanted to do the public good. right now, at the process, neither side is committed to it. >> what's next then? it was interesting this weekend to hear, for example, john boehner on with chris l wallace on fox news saying we're nowhere. shouldn't they counter with the president even if they think it's a ridiculous offer? >> if i'm advising the republicans, which i'm not, i'd over a republican plan that's progrowth, pro job creation, get rid of grover, and say this is what we're for, mr. president. here's the plan. i would say let's bargain in good faith. >> the sunday talk shows, geithner saying republicans need to deal with it, and others it's a stalemate. do you think that's for show though? it seems like the deals in washington, at this time of the year happen at the 11th hour, last three years especially for taxes. >> could have been for taxes, but,,and the but is very important, if there's a frame work december 31st at midnight, it will be just that. the markets will, i think, rea
. the data, u.s. manufacturing activity last month lowest level since the summer of 2009, but then we got a construction spending report that was good. in october, it rose by the largest amounts in five months, and then we got auto sales throughout the morning, and while they were decent, gm, toyota, and chrysler missed november's estimates, but ford beat them. that's the data and push and pull among the markets, back to you. >> lauren, thanks so much. >> 12995 where it ends, nobody knows. take a gamble. talks in a standstill, timothy geithner blaming republicans saying they have to raise taxes in order to avoid going over the cliff. rich edson in washington with the latest, rich? >> they are stuck on this offer, which the white house says is less of an offer and the same position the administration staked out in its jobs bill and deficit proposal over the last couple years. half trillion in tax increases or trillion and a half in tax increases, $600 billion in spending cuts, more spending, and a permanent increase in the debt ceiling. on fox news sunday, boehner called that deal a joke.
. same goes for the s&p stock of about nine points. we are also watching a settlement between u.s. regulators and about a dozen banks. sources tell the "new york times" that 14 banks include tank of america, wells fargo and jpmorgan chase. we are taking a look at those stocks. back to you. ashley: diane, thank you very much. well, the question is, is the unthinkable about to become reality for back now, it is up to this man. on the right. vice president joe biden called in to help with the debt negotiations that we think are going nowhere. there are always rumors and whispers in the hallway. let's go to rich for the very latest on the progress. rich: there is progress, ashley. they are working on a tentative agreement right now. they can always get choked up on the finer points. this is what they are working with right now. it basically extends all tax cuts for people under $400,000 a year. it permanently patches -- it make sure doctors treating medicare patients do not get a pay cut. a one-year extension of unemployment benefits. on top of all of this, there are some discussions
dollars charge as it repositioned oppositions. charlie gasparino tells us it is even more cuts are on the way. lori: new warnings and ethanol blended gasoline. joining us on whether you should be worried about what you put into your gas tank. let's get up to speed, back the floor of the new york stock exchange and nicole petallides. economic data on the service industry. nicole: looking good, lori and melissa. up 125 points. after two days of selling we are seeing some market action to the upside. we are above the 13,000 mark, well above that. 13,076. the nasdaq squeezing it out. concern for apple, but financials are doing well. let's take a look at the group. laying off 11,000 workers, that is the plan. a new ceo in place and he wants to make his mark. up 6.5%. it is under pressure, nowhere near $700 for the all-time high in september. the latest findings other actually going to use the market share for the ipad to the android in some microsoft folks, they're facing intense competition. with the findings you see stocks down 4%. back to you. melissa: interesting. lori: thank yo
you have a lot of business. >> we will be staying open to the holidays. our clients have pushed us to get these closed for the. stuart: you have been talking up your own book. >> we will do what our clients want. stuart: demanding higher tax rates on the rich. >> i believe they are not necessary. i believe it will change. stuart: it was fun. they can and connell, it is yours. connell: thank you, stuart. dagen: new life for a tax increase on billionaires. connell: how would such a deal play with the democrats. dagen: apples weekend in china. new iphone sales top 2 million units. connell: $3.24 a gallon. these are the best prices we have seen all year for gasoline. a very, difficult day and weekend for many around the country. dagen: it will be a difficult week, month and many years to come as we try to deal with these shootings in newtown, connecticut. we will bring you up-to-date about any news as we get it. you'll hear about it in the fox news minute coming up in just a short while. connell: the business news of the day. we will begin with nicole petallides at the new york stock e
to the president's desk. tracy: click and expedient. lori: the efficiency. tracy: u.s. government set to hit the legal borrowing limit on monday. 16.$4 trillion federal debt limit beginning to come down and toch congress passes legislation or defaults. treasury secretary tim traders said the treasury would begin to undertake "extraordinary measures to stave off default quote that could $3,200,000,000,000 of additional funding which would give them two more months this is creative accounting. we have many. lori: the overspending is the understatement. the bond yield is lower investors are thinking this is the safest bet stocks are falling the dow was off 100 points europe is a mess in china slows down the global economy in dire straits and we cannot stop spending there is no message in interest rates are rising as they should to prepare for another downgrade which is very concerning talking about the economic data data, consumer confidence falls over fiscal cliff uncertainty and warning the government is set to hit the legal borrowing limit by a monday. we have bill rodgers from rutgers unive
] humana thanks the physicians, urses, hospitals, pharmacists and otherealth professionals who helped us achieve the highest average star rating among natiol medicare companies... and become the first and only national medicare advantage company to achieve a 5-star rating for a medicare plan... your efforts result in the quality of care and service we're able to provide... which means better health outcomes... and more quality time to share with the ones who matter most. love you, grand! [ malennouncer ] humana. ♪ dagen: what is the first ord that comes to mind. yes, it does start with and a. try ambassador instead. she was a big fundraiser for the president, of course. raising over $500,000 for the campaign. she is not interested. she is very happy with her current job. flying this holiday will cost you more this year. it is $469. that is up 4% from last year. the $469 for ticket purchase in late november. if you bought in late october, the price is more like $400. the people of singapore are the least of emotional people in the world. 36% of people say they feel anything at all on a
us up to date, please. we have run a little bit over, turn on. i think it was for a worthy cause. dagen: thank you for making me tear up again, charles. the house speaker is set to update us on these talks in about an hour. connell: we could see a new round of money pumping. the impact as the two-day meeting starts. dagen: michigan's capital under siege. protests over right to work. connell: should we call it an apple tax? on average, families are spending thousands of dollars a year on apple products. dagen: it is not a tax, it is a choice. top of the hour, stocks now and every 15 minutes. nicole: all right, dagen and connell, take a look at the markets. the dow jones industrials up triple digits. the dollar has been lower. they have talked about the gains that we have been seeing over in europe. the euro top 50. that is very interesting, as well. this is the environment. it bodes very well. another winning day here on wall street. drug stocks, bank stocks doing well. the vix, the fear index, is to the downside. let's take a look at urban outfitters. taking a look at their quart
. speaking right. exactly. liz: more on the fiscal cliff. let's bring in peter. with us is former clinton advisor doug shoen. we have basically mr. boehner saying, look, you senate, you have not come up with anything. >> i think, unfortunately, we will probably get around it. i think it is a worse outcome to avoid the cliff then to go over it. i think we should broaden the discussion and look at what is going on around the world. look at japan and europe. the japanese government is the glaring war on japanese citizens. it will create inflation. if the japanese citizens start to dump their bonds, they have been a bigger part then japan recently. that is a big problem for us. their euro has been quietly depreciating. if that goes out, that is a much bigger fiscal cliff. if the buyers of treasuries become sellers. liz: there are a lot of "if" in your discussion. the bond markets are still pretty -- nothing from the bottom vigilantes yet. you were a clinton advisor. you saw in the mid- 90s bond yields really spike higher. that is the issue. if we see the economy healing, bond yields could go
%. they are using that as an indicator that things will not be as good as we thought going into the holiday shopping season. on monday, shopper track indicated and revise their outlook for the holiday spending growth from 3.3% down to 2.5%. the only holdout is the national retail federation. it is saying that they still expect growth this holiday season to be 4.1% over the last year. they are sticking to those numbers. one of the reasons spending polls believe we saw a drop-off and had to revise the predictions for the year, superstorm sandy. they do not think it was consumers fear got as much as it was on the drops of the markets in the middle east. back to you. lori: i think they did more online also. joining us now is founder and resident of sica wealth management. this is what i am thinking about with this disappointing sales. it is so difficult for the federal government. people are wary of all of the uncertainty. they are keeping their pocketbooks closed during this all-important spending season. do you see that as an interesting perspective? >> i think at this point, here you have this santa
in vinegar and. we may as well have tomorrow's conversation today. >> it seems as if this helps us understand what is going on. i will bring a new perspective to the fullest fiscal cliff. connell: please. >> what the democrats have been trying to do is get the republicans to agree to raising the rates on [people. if they were to do that, it would at this rate the republican brand which is the do not raise tax rates. connell: they do not care what the level is? >> right. that is what republicans want to run on. if they agree on increases around $20,250,000, then the democrats could say you are not any different than us. what they are trying to do with the million dollar limit is basically take that problem off the table. i think he is actually succeeding with that which is what it would be very hard to agree with that million dollar figure. it will not go very far. the other side of it is the spending in this the questioner. this is the it part of the fiscal cliff. connell: if you look at interest rates, today we bring up the ten year yield, the real movement on this, the real solution to the
january. the chief investment strategist of raymond james is joining us now. there's a track record on your side about the last week of december. >> that's right, usually the last week and the week before is when the last of the retail selling takes place and there tends to be upside vacuum between christmas and first couple days of the year. 70% probability of being an up shortened week. dennis: you don't see that percentage going down because of the cliff and all that? >> i think your previous guest was right. i lived inside the d.c. beltway. i think they will come together. they won't get a grand solution, but i think they could get the first step of maybe 500,000 as your other guest suggested in terms of the definition of what wealthy is. i think he's also right on boehner. boehner has been under tremendous personal pressure to cut a deal, and when the new congress sits on january 4th, i'm coming to you from virginia right now, and cantor is indeed the next up and he has a lean and hungry look. dennis: a lean and hungry look. if markets don't rally against expectations for the l
they will let us know if there is any update in the talks for congressional leadership. the leader's office is me no news to report. as of now, we are still headed for the cliff. on january 1, the nation faces a $5 trillion tax increase over ten years to the expiration of the bush tax cuts. the lapse of the bush tax cut would mean the top would go to 39.6. tax rates would also go all for lower income earners. the maximum lowest rate going back to 15%. four investors, capital gains rates would revert to 20%. dagen: i will not utter that word. thank you for that. growing pessimism when it comes to the club. some americans say we will get a deal. let's bring in ted kaufman. he is joining us from wilmington tell me what happens if we go over the cliff? >> i have been saying for a while we will go over the cliff. republican members in the house have made it pretty clear they will not vote for tax increases. this has been around for 30 years. the simplest answer to this is what i predicted will happen and that is after the 31st that the bush tax cuts will expire and then there will be a bill in o
investors. i think they will put money there. dagen: how it now use inflation, do you think we are maybe even closer to a serious, serious pop up and long-term interest rates? >> i think the fed, by virtue of doing what it did, has a lot more ambiguity in the policy it when they will exit. for instance, the forward looking expectation on inflation on 2.5%, as being a policy guide, if it gets to 4%, the fed does not do anything, the expectation is it will come back down to 2.5. all of these questions are completely out there to be answered as the events occur. at the same time, they took the certainty of short-term rates staying at these low levels until 2015 off the table. the market -- dagen: what if on a planet 6.5% in the next year? >> i did not like what the fed did in a statement. it raises a lot more uncertainty. dagen: the fixed income guy who likes stocks. good to see you, stop. be well. connell: the gop needs to play hardball. >> every indication is that speaker dinner and the republicans need to go down the road of higher tax hikes. you do not go she and public. you do not play
later and look at the mess. that is why we need systemic tax reform. what people want to see is us putting our focus on the spending side of the ledger. the debt is out of control. a $4 billion a day deficit is out of control. there have to be some spending cuts. you have to address the spending side of this column. you have to address entitlements. what the president wants to do is look at the taxes, generate enough revenue and forget about the rest of it. i do not excel. the american people have had their fill of this. they are demanding we address the spending side. you have to look at tax reform. it actually makes the problem worse. why would i kick the can down the road and why would i keep all of this that all my children and grandchildren so that their future is capped and traded to the people that own our debt? i think that is your responsibility. rich: eventually, the house will have to get involved in this one if there is a deal. dagen: and there are a number of issues where the two sides are far apart. keep in mind, the mmst important role is to avoid the tax increases.
it was to have you with us. dagen and connell, it is yours. dagen: you may want to start worrying about the flu shot. connell: thank you, stuart. dagen: i am dagen mcdowell. connell: i am connell mcshane. what the fed does today will speak volumes about whether or not we are going over the fiscal cliff. dagen: and overhaul of corporate taxes. that is on the table. connell: well other states now fall after michigan. dagen: the president of stubhub is here to talk all about it. connell: first, let's get to the floor of the new york stock exchange. nicole: $1.2 billion share repurchase. they are buying back shares from the estate of a longtime shareholder. here is a look at stocks this morning. very busy. it was halted for news. there is the stock right now. almost $134,000 a share. of almost 2.5%. let's take a look at the broader market average. the dow is up five days in a row. traders say that the trend continues to the upside. the dollar is lower. back to you. connell: you mentioned bad day. first, the latest from capital hill. they say we are over the fiscal cliff, unless tax rates go up. the
gets done. democratic congressman john carney joins us with his take. our own nicole petallides is standing by on the new york stock exchange. nicole: you are seeing back-and-forth action on the dow jones industrials. they do seem to like it because basically it is the fed putting everything on a silver platter here and is giving it to the world and printing more and find more. it is doing that for an extended period. the people on wall street are saying what are they trying it to unemployment rates you saw the market selloff and now regain its footing. you do the qe forever. gold will be something that we should take a look at. the dollar is something that we have watched slipping away. it is continuing to do that. we have seen things and drugs doing well. the dow jones industrials are up they have of a percent for the sixth day in a row. people were thinking that the fed would have a very accommodative sense. one of the things that we should look at is the market is very reactionary. the truth of the matter is they are not pulling anything and they are not raising rates anytim
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